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New York Stock Exchange

235 posts
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Polymarket is suddenly worth $21bn, and the hardest question is whether prediction markets are finance or gambling

Polymarket is seeking about $1 billion at a $21 billion valuation, with 1789 Capital committing roughly $300 million. The financing values the prediction-market platform at less than rival Kalshi but implies a paper value of about $4.6 billion for Intercontinental Exchange’s reported 22% stake. The harder question is whether billion-dollar annualised revenue can survive state-level legal battles, market-integrity scrutiny and a shift from speculative trading toward institutional financial infrastructure.
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Wella’s IPO looks like a beauty growth story until the $2.29bn balance-sheet number enters the picture

Wella Company has filed for a New York Stock Exchange IPO after returning to profit and lifting adjusted EBITDA above $520 million. The owner of Wella Professionals, OPI, Clairol and ghd has delivered 22 consecutive quarters of constant-currency growth, but $2.29 billion of debt means the eventual valuation will depend as much on deleveraging as brand strength.
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USI nearly tripled revenue under KKR, but Aon is paying 14.5 times synergised EBITDA for the next stage

Aon is paying $17 billion for privately held USI Insurance Services only two years after its $13 billion NFP acquisition. The transaction gives KKR a sixfold return on its original 2017 equity, but Aon’s 9.5% share-price fall shows investors are focusing just as closely on leverage, a 14.5-times synergised EBITDA multiple and the cost of integrating another major insurance brokerage.