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Arrow Exploration Q2 revenue jumps 116% as Colombia production reaches 4,902boepd

Arrow Exploration more than doubled Q2 revenue to $34.2 million and quadrupled adjusted EBITDA to $25.2 million as Colombia production expanded, while the debt-free producer continues negotiating its Tapir licence extension.

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL, TSXV: AXL) reported what management described as its strongest quarter to date, with second-quarter 2026 oil and gas revenue net of royalties rising 116% year on year to US$34.2 million and adjusted EBITDA increasing approximately fourfold to US$25.2 million. Average corporate production reached 4,902 boe/d, 30% above the corresponding 2025 quarter, while net income swung to US$10.4 million from a US$0.9 million loss. The producer ended June with US$28.5 million of cash, no debt and US$14.5 million of adjusted working capital, leaving it with a stronger financial platform as it drills the new Icaco discovery, advances its Colombian development programme and continues negotiations over an extension of the Tapir block licence.

The growth is unusually concentrated in oil. Arrow produced 4,801 barrels per day of crude in Colombia during the quarter compared with only 574 Mcf/d of natural gas across the wider company, making petroleum liquids overwhelmingly responsible for current earnings. Realised operating netback improved to US$63.42 per boe from US$27.36 a year earlier, demonstrating how rising oil production and stronger realised economics amplified the effect of the volume increase.

Where did Arrow Exploration’s extra production come from?

Mateguafa became the largest producing area in the portfolio during the second quarter, averaging approximately 2,228 boe/d compared with no production in the comparable period last year. Carrizales Norte contributed another 1,253 boe/d, Rio Cravo Este produced 753 boe/d and the newly discovered Icaco field averaged approximately 188 boe/d during its initial development phase.

Those figures show that Arrow’s growth is no longer dependent primarily on mature fields. Mateguafa Attic has become a major production platform, while Icaco introduces an additional multi-formation development area that management believes can add reserves and drilling locations.

The company drilled one exploration well and two development wells at Icaco during Q2 together with another horizontal well at Mateguafa Attic. After the quarter ended, Arrow drilled another two development wells at Icaco and spudded a third, indicating that the field is moving directly from discovery into a concentrated development programme.

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How did a 30% production increase produce a 116% revenue increase?

Volume explains only part of the earnings jump. Arrow’s total operating netback increased from US$27.36 per boe to US$63.42 per boe, while crude-oil operating netback climbed to US$64.90 per barrel from US$30.08 a year earlier. The combination of higher output and significantly stronger unit economics produced a much larger percentage increase in revenue and EBITDA than in production.

Funds flow from operations rose to US$18.9 million from approximately US$4.0 million, while operating cash flow for the quarter was US$15.7 million. Adjusted EBITDA of US$25.16 million was about 74% of the US$34.22 million of net oil and gas revenue, underscoring the strong operating leverage of high-netback production before corporate expenses and other items.

The financial profile remains sensitive to oil prices because crude dominates Arrow’s production. That creates considerable cash-flow upside when realised prices are strong but also means the current EBITDA margin should not automatically be extrapolated into a lower-price commodity environment.

How much capital is Arrow spending to sustain this growth?

Second-quarter capital expenditure was approximately US$9.36 million compared with US$14.77 million a year earlier. For the first half, capex reached US$17.24 million while funds flow from operations was US$30.46 million.

That relationship is significant because Arrow is currently funding an active drilling programme while remaining debt free. First-half operating growth has therefore not required the company to add financial leverage, although continued drilling, acquisitions and Colombian development will keep demanding capital.

Cash increased to US$28.5 million from US$13.2 million in the comparable 2025 quarter, while current assets reached US$49.5 million against US$35.0 million of current liabilities. The balance sheet gives management flexibility to continue drilling even if individual wells require additional completion expenditure.

Why is Icaco becoming central to Arrow’s investment case?

Management described Icaco as a multi-formation discovery capable of supporting a large development plan. The field contributed only 188 boe/d on average during Q2 because production started partway through the quarter, but the post-period drilling programme indicates Arrow expects a much larger contribution as additional wells are completed.

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A multi-zone discovery can create development efficiency because several reservoir intervals may be accessed from common surface infrastructure and drilling pads. Arrow still needs longer production histories before the ultimate reserve and decline profile becomes clear, so early well rates should not be treated as proof of full-field economics.

Icaco’s importance is amplified because several older producing areas declined during the same period. Carrizales Norte averaged 1,253 boe/d in Q2 versus 2,070 boe/d a year earlier, demonstrating why Arrow needs continuing discoveries and development wells simply to offset natural field decline while growing total output.

What does the Thorsby acquisition add after quarter-end?

Arrow completed its acquisition of the Thorsby field in Alberta after the second quarter, adding Canadian production, proved reserves and further drilling opportunities. The transaction creates another source of production outside Colombia and slightly reduces the company’s geographic dependence on the Tapir block.

Thorsby is not reflected in the reported Q2 production of 4,902 boe/d, meaning future consolidated figures should contain an acquisition contribution alongside organic Colombian drilling. Investors will need to separate those effects when assessing future growth rates.

The purchase also means Arrow must allocate capital across two jurisdictions. Colombia remains the higher-growth engine today, while Canadian assets can provide portfolio diversification and additional development inventory.

Why does the Tapir licence extension remain the biggest strategic uncertainty?

Arrow said it continues constructive discussions with Colombian authorities over the Tapir block extension and believes it has satisfied the relevant requirements. An extension is commercially important because Tapir contains the Mateguafa, Icaco, Carrizales Norte and Rio Cravo Este production that currently drives the majority of the company’s operating economics.

Strong quarterly results do not remove that contractual risk. A longer licence life allows Arrow to justify additional drilling and infrastructure spending because the company has more time to recover development capital and monetise discovered resources.

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Conversely, prolonged uncertainty could eventually influence the pace of investment even while current production remains strong. The licence negotiation is therefore potentially more material to long-term valuation than another single successful well.

How did Arrow Exploration shares react to the record quarter?

Arrow Exploration shares closed at C$0.51 on the TSX Venture Exchange on August 27, up 2% for the session on volume of about 964,000 shares. The stock had closed at C$0.49 two sessions earlier, meaning the results helped extend a modest recovery after recent weakness.

The market reaction looks restrained relative to the 116% revenue increase and 300% EBITDA growth, suggesting investors are already considering issues beyond the latest quarter. Licence duration, drilling execution, commodity prices and the ability to turn Icaco into sustained multi-well production remain material valuation variables.

Arrow now has an attractive combination for a small upstream producer: rising output, high operating netbacks, positive cash generation, US$28.5 million of cash and no debt. The next stage requires proving that the growth can persist after the first surge from Mateguafa and Icaco while the company secures the contractual runway needed to keep developing Tapir.


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