Narendra Modi scrapes through to claim historic third term as Prime Minister

In a dramatic turn of events during India’s 2024 general elections, the opposition bloc, collectively referred to as INDIA, made significant gains, surpassing expectations set by exit polls and challenging the dominance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s National Democratic Alliance (NDA). Despite predictions of an overwhelming victory for Modi, who was eyeing a third term with the NDA targeting over 400 seats, the coalition hovered around the 300-mark, facing unexpected setbacks primarily in Uttar Pradesh.

Election Overview

As of the latest updates, the BJP led on 241 seats, with the broader NDA alliance ahead on 296 seats. In contrast, the opposition INDIA bloc, which includes major players like the Samajwadi Party and the Congress, was ahead on 228 seats, with the Congress alone securing 100. The results from Uttar Pradesh, which sends 80 lawmakers to the Lok Sabha, India’s lower house of Parliament, were particularly surprising. Here, the INDIA bloc led in 44 seats, a significant recovery from past performances.

Narendra Modi prevails in 2024 general elections. Photo courtesy of Prime Minister’s Office, Government of India/Wikimedia Commons.

Regional Shifts and Key Battlegrounds

The BJP’s ambitious plans were also challenged in other critical regions. In West Bengal, despite high expectations, the BJP trailed behind with leads in only 11 seats, while Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress was ahead in 31. Maharashtra showed a clear disapproval of recent political maneuvers within local parties, affecting the outcomes for both the BJP and its rivals. However, the BJP saw compensatory gains in states like Odisha, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana.

Analysis of Voter Sentiments and Campaign Dynamics

The 2024 elections were marked by an intense and prolonged campaign, reflecting the complex mood of the electorate. The BJP had deployed its vast election machinery early, focusing on development, economic issues, and national pride, backed by achievements like the scrapping of Article 370 and the construction of the Ayodhya Ram Temple. Conversely, the opposition’s campaign gained traction by challenging the ruling coalition’s agenda and advocating for constitutional and social reforms.

Implications for Modi’s Leadership and Future Strategies

While a third term for Modi appears likely, the reduced margin and the resurgence of the opposition signal a need for introspection and possibly recalibrating strategies within the BJP and its allies. The opposition’s performance suggests a shifting political landscape, potentially influencing future policy directions and governance approaches.