HDFC Bank Limited announced its unaudited financial results for Q2 FY25, showcasing a 6% year-on-year increase in net profit to ₹16,820.97 crore. This result reflects the bank’s steady growth trajectory, despite a marginal rise in its gross non-performing assets (GNPAs), which now stand at 1.36%. The net NPA ratio, however, remains stable at 0.41%.

Key Financial Highlights

HDFC Bank reported a significant growth in its total deposits, which rose by 15.1% year-on-year, amounting to ₹25,00,100 crore as of September 30, 2024. This strong deposit base reflects the bank’s continued focus on expanding its retail and wholesale banking operations. Furthermore, the bank’s net interest income (NII) increased by 9.94% year-on-year, totaling ₹30,107.9 crore for Q2 FY25.

Despite a slight increase in GNPAs, analysts at Jefferies maintain a positive outlook, highlighting the bank’s strategy to reduce its loan-to-deposit ratio to pre-merger levels. They expect a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% in deposits, supporting this target. HDFC Bank’s conservative approach towards loan expansion aims to keep credit costs manageable, ensuring steady growth without compromising profitability.

Share Price Performance and Market Sentiment

HDFC Bank’s share price is currently trading at approximately ₹1,681.85 on the NSE. Over the past week, the stock demonstrated resilience, with a slight uptick despite broader market fluctuations. As of October 15, 2024, Jefferies has set a price target of ₹1,890, indicating a potential 12% upside from current levels. The analysts are confident that the bank’s strategic focus on expanding its branch network and reducing funding costs will enhance its net interest margin (NIM), positively impacting future earnings.

Expert Insight: Banking Sector Analyst Commentary

Banking sector analysts note that HDFC Bank’s ability to manage its compliance with priority sector lending (PSL) norms without significantly affecting profitability is a testament to its robust business model. Additionally, its decision to slow down the growth of unsecured loans is seen as a prudent move to mitigate risk and maintain credit quality. This balanced approach, combined with its efforts to reduce the loan-to-deposit ratio, places the bank in a strong position to capitalize on market opportunities as it expands its reach across India.

Outlook and Recommendations

With HDFC Bank’s strategic plans underway, including efforts to expand its branch network and increase deposits, analysts remain optimistic about its long-term growth. Despite short-term volatility, the bank’s fundamentals suggest that it is well-positioned for steady profitability. Investors are advised to monitor the bank’s loan growth and NIM closely, as these will be critical drivers of future stock performance.

  Ajay Agarwal, BSE Limited, HDFC Bank, Jefferies, Mumbai, National Stock Exchange of India, Sashidhar Jagdishan