Ukraine, US push for 30-day ceasefire—What it means for the war’s future

Ukraine has expressed support for a 30-day ceasefire agreement, a proposal backed by the United States following high-level discussions in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. The diplomatic breakthrough comes as Washington lifts restrictions on military aid to Ukraine and resumes intelligence sharing, signaling a shift in US policy towards the ongoing conflict with Russia.

A joint statement issued after the talks confirmed Ukraine’s willingness to enact an immediate, temporary 30-day ceasefire, subject to an extension based on mutual agreement. However, the proposal remains contingent upon Russia’s acceptance and simultaneous implementation. The statement also noted that the United States will reinstate security assistance while pressing Moscow for “reciprocity” as a key step toward peace.

US Reinstates Intelligence Sharing, Calls for Russian Compliance

The decision to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine marks a significant policy shift, reinforcing US-Ukraine military cooperation at a critical juncture. Washington has emphasized that Russia’s response to the ceasefire proposal will be pivotal in determining the next course of action.

The US delegation stated that Moscow must demonstrate its willingness to de-escalate, warning that without Russian compliance, a sustainable peace agreement may not materialize. Meanwhile, both nations have agreed to designate negotiating teams immediately to work toward a more permanent resolution, with Ukraine’s long-term security being a central focus.

US-Ukraine Critical Minerals Agreement Nears Conclusion

In addition to the ceasefire negotiations, discussions in Jeddah also advanced efforts to finalize a comprehensive deal on Ukraine’s critical mineral resources. The agreement aims to bolster Ukraine’s economy, reduce its dependence on foreign aid, and ensure long-term financial stability.

According to officials, both US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky have agreed to expedite the mineral resources agreement, emphasizing its importance in securing Ukraine’s economic future. The proposed deal is expected to provide a financial buffer for Ukraine while mitigating the costs associated with continued American military assistance.

A senior aide in Zelensky’s office hinted that progress was being made, stating that the discussions remained “constructive” and that negotiations were moving swiftly toward completion. This development comes just days after a high-profile meeting between Trump and Zelensky at the White House.

Diplomatic Efforts Intensify as Ukraine Seeks Lasting Peace

Andriy Yermak, a key aide to Zelensky, described the ceasefire negotiations as the closest Ukraine has come to achieving a diplomatic resolution in three years of war. Speaking to The Guardian, Yermak underscored that a lasting peace would require more than a temporary ceasefire.

“A ceasefire in Ukraine will not come through diplomatic gestures alone. A number of conditions are crucial beforehand in order to ensure that peace—when it comes—is lasting. This includes putting political and financial pressure on Russia to raise the cost of renewed conflict,” he stated.

He also highlighted the importance of European military and economic resilience, stressing that Europe must be prepared to strengthen its security posture to deter future aggression from Russia.

Meanwhile, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk urged both parties to capitalize on the Jeddah talks, calling the negotiations a rare opportunity for a meaningful resolution. “Dear Americans, dear Ukrainians, don’t waste this chance. The whole world is watching you in Jeddah today. Good luck!” he posted on X.

Uncertain Road Ahead as Russia’s Response Remains Unclear

Despite diplomatic progress, the success of the 30-day ceasefire agreement hinges on Russia’s response, which remains uncertain. While Ukraine has signaled its willingness to proceed, Moscow has yet to publicly commit to the proposal.

As negotiations continue, the global community is closely monitoring the situation, with the ceasefire deal potentially marking a turning point in the war. However, whether Russia will engage constructively or use the pause to regroup militarily remains a pressing concern among Western allies.